Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 2143.602685 2325.870981 2510.064161 2709.844212 2920.113628 3134.562863 3369.506747
2025-06-08 1816.851952 2086.968636 2370.070808 2687.708242 3032.964349 3395.733774 3804.559649
2025-06-15 1657.742081 1985.114495 2337.330449 2741.972552 3191.535754 3673.332501 4226.332943
2025-06-22 1510.503685 1876.455845 2279.269528 2751.467735 3285.773265 3867.749200 4545.681068
2025-06-29 1381.119724 1774.894487 2217.459784 2745.709357 3353.139248 4024.124770 4815.678835
2025-07-06 1230.834952 1637.555223 2104.404503 2671.718543 3334.407932 4076.406474 4962.315324
2025-07-13 1189.192497 1624.557703 2132.306540 2757.599566 3496.484691 4331.945483 5338.072404
2025-07-20 1130.352349 1586.055680 2126.080096 2799.947373 3605.257823 4524.505266 5640.723892
2025-07-27 1061.484155 1530.609796 2095.585011 2809.913068 3673.109498 4667.593676 5884.866989
2025-08-03 992.259728 1470.507728 2055.792584 2805.405114 3721.052409 4785.388906 6098.134605
2025-08-10 938.692151 1427.247139 2034.126165 2820.635786 3790.781804 4927.513288 6339.116202
2025-08-17 877.539901 1370.697554 1992.883379 2809.092041 3825.930753 5027.019754 6528.741565
2025-08-24 836.647073 1339.856316 1983.850732 2838.040861 3911.746295 5189.154735 6795.964402
2025-08-31 777.050508 1280.764923 1936.013953 2816.025502 3933.288053 5273.151406 6969.757970
2025-09-07 753.612071 1269.946685 1950.027799 2872.005882 4051.310138 5473.954678 7284.225353
2025-09-14 713.926375 1234.214696 1929.345576 2881.803607 4110.340956 5602.175852 7510.830964
2025-09-21 671.138992 1191.797965 1897.827497 2875.862010 4148.205323 5703.573055 7704.421690
2025-09-28 606.146341 1113.684483 1814.886719 2799.505790 4093.908342 5689.144189 7754.900142
2025-10-05 602.450456 1126.000701 1856.082263 2888.130386 4251.847182 5939.143060 8131.101975
2025-10-12 583.947376 1114.988973 1864.110365 2931.820768 4351.519209 6116.524451 8418.331203
2025-10-19 555.681524 1087.631077 1848.062992 2942.101445 4407.143472 6238.373182 8636.925103
2025-10-26 524.432612 1054.037578 1821.859026 2937.451055 4442.409942 6334.066207 8822.859366
2025-11-02 501.177000 1031.851813 1811.055544 2953.162666 4503.976008 6462.868783 9050.228802